Setting the Stage: The 36 Preceding Years (1932-1968). The era of the (FDR) New Deal and (Truman) Fair Deal saw, as an LFTC reader once vouchsafed to me, a unification of media, cultural and political elites, united behind the Democratic Party. Their beau ideal was actually Adlai Stevenson, whose philosophy was well to the left of FDR, Truman and JFK. The elites saw themselves as uniquely blessed with the capacity--and the right--to govern--rather than leave governance to the masses, whom they thought unenlightened. Popuulism to the elites meant sinister cartoon figures like Father Charles Coughlin (the anti-semitic rabble-rouser of the 1930s and 1940s) and Senator Joseph McCarthy (the scourge of the 1950s whose prime achievement was to discredit anti-Communism), or polarizing figures like Louisiana Governor Huey Long and Alabama Governor George Wallace. The JFK assassination ushered in five years of chaos, as the old order collapsed. And yes, my headings are the same as Winston Churchill's six WW-II volumes; I'm so fond of them that I cannot resist using them.
The Gathering
Storm: 1968 - 1980
America is now beginning the 39th year of a
40-year culture conflict for control of America and its destiny.
(Actually, the conflict will not end until the 41st year,
but if the Hundred Years War of medieval times could last 116 years
[337-1453] 40 is “close enough for government work.”) The
roots of the war were planted in the 1960s, when the traditional and
counterculture split emerged over war, riots, the pill; the free
speech movement at UCLA symbolized the first stirrings of the coming
conflict. The first formal shot in the war was fired January
31, 1968, when Walter Cronkite turned against the Vietnam War as
televised pictures of Viet sappers assaulting the US embassy compound
in Saigon at the start of the Tet Offensive flashed on America's TV
screens. President Johnson announced March 31 that he would not
run again.
The Mainstream Media
(MSM's "Seven Sisters" were ABC, CBS, NBC, The NY Times,
The Washington Post, Time, Newsweek) gathered strength during Richard
Nixon’s presidency. When Watergate gave MSM an opening, they
brought down a second President. To be fair, Nixon’s misdeeds
merited removal from office, but MSM did not deserve its triumph, as
several prior presidents had engaged in comparable misconduct
(wiretaps, abuse of the IRS, cover-ups) without being driven from
office. MSM thus became convinced that they ran the country.
And for a time they did, with 90 percent of viewers tuning in
the Big Three news each night.
Their Finest Hour: 1980 - 1988
Ronald Reagan's 1980 win
was made possible by Jimmy Carter's "Clouseau-Presidency;"
MSM tried to save Carter by floating the idea that the job was too
big for anyone. Reagan's magnificent communication skills
bypassed MSM--they would, however, have come to naught had he not
pushed sound, big ideas--peace through strength, low-tax growth and
respect for traditional American values. Reagan brought to political
power the conservative movement started by Barry Goldwater in 1964.
Meanwhile the
Vietnam conflict fractured the Democratic Party 1968-1972. MSM
still set much of the agenda and greatly helped a Democratic House to
frustrate many of Reagan's domestic goals. In 1986-87 MSM
almost destroyed Reagan over Iran/Contra, a scandal manufactured by
Democrats in Congress in an attempt to criminalize foreign policy
they opposed. MSM made possible the "Borking" of
Judge Robert Bork. Realizing that Reagan created the prospect of an
emerging Republican voting majority, liberals made Supreme Court
nominations a battleground, aiming to wield power through the
Justices. Reagan led a coalition of the willing to victory in
the Cold War, and made tax cuts and growth a Republican mantra.
Reagan also put in place two policies with large consequences
not appreciated at the time: creating 401k plans and abolishing the
FCC's "Fairness Doctrine." The former laid the
foundation for an “ownership society,” as more voters became
shareholders; the latter laid the foundation for the rise of talk
radio.
The
Grand Alliance: 1989 - 1999
Bush Senior interrupted the
process. Elected via Reaganesque themes, he governed like a
traditional Republican--very much driven by MSM pressure to bargain
with the Democrats in both houses of Congress. Not a
revolutionary, he feared break-up of the Soviet Empire and rejected
dumping Saddam in 1991 even after Saddam torched the Kuwaiti oil
fields. The 1992 Republican convention and the fall campaign
marked the formal joining of the culture war clash with MSM, as MSM
realized economic issues would no longer alone suffice, after the
Reagan years, to make voters vote Democrat.
Pat Buchanan's
barnburner speech at the 1992 Republican Convention framed the
culture war, and MSM made it look like all Republicans were
right-wing extremists; add negative news on an economy that had been
growing since April 1991 and Bush was toast. Ross Perot elected
Clinton, whom voters felt they could risk after the Cold war ended.
Clinton was pushed back in 1994 when Hillary's socialist health
care plan backfired; but Newt Gingrich's House revolution
over-reached during the government shutdown (which Clinton engineered
while MSM blamed Newt), and Clinton signed welfare reform and
recovered. HillaryCare's failure elected a Republican House (a
massive 52-seat gain) and marked the death-knell for New Deal/Great
Society expansion—Clinton famously said (not meaning it) that “the
era of big government is over.” Choice and opportunity supplanted
security for many voters--especially baby boomers. Saving Clinton
from removal from office marked the end of a 25-year period of MSM
ascendancy. MSM could to some extent protect a Democratic President
from his worst sins—not the hapless Carter, but a scandal-plagued
Clinton enjoying the post-Cold War “peace dividend” and an
economy on steroids. No Republican President could have survived
Whitewater, Filegate or Chinagate--the 1996 election fundraising
scandal.
The
Cold War ended, America entered its Party Decade and elected
counterculture. It was during the 1990s that culture surpassed
economics as the defining benchmark of politics. The prosperity
of the 1990s, coupled with the passing of many Depression era voters,
made the have/have-not divide less salient. Global financial
networks made capital more mobile, escaping unfriendly economic
policies. Walter Wriston's "Information Standard"
imposed market discipline on government policy. In the US share
ownership rose from just over 20 percent in 1990 to surpass 50
percent by 2000—70 percent of registered voters. Redistribution
policy, so attractive to Depression-era voters, was dead. Clinton
surrendered economic policy to the markets, but his descent into
scandal revitalized the culture conflict.
Meanwhile,
alternative media flowered: talk radio, cable, local tv news going
increasingly national/global in coverage, ! competing with the
national networks and the Internet. The web of communications
networking gave rise to a new transnational elite, while in America
there arose 2.5 nations: Entitlement America, Ownership America &
Elite America. EA are government largess recipients; OA are
workers and investors; EA are entertainers, academics and media
types. With the passing of Depression voters, Elites needed
something to replace New Deal/Great Society ideas as their
intellectual foundation; they found it in multilateral transnational
governance--EU fiat transplanted to institutions controlled by the
global cosmopolitan elite. The UN, courts and
bureaucracies--all unelected--became their implementing
institutions--including subordinating the US Constitution to
international legal norms crafted by the international Left. Vast
wealth and MSM adulation separated this Elite to an unprecedented
degree from the rest of us--entertainers lived like plutocrats,
insulated from real life to a far greater degree than their more
talented predecessors. Their insulation was not simply economic
but cultural--no longer need they even pretend to be like their
adulatory audiences.
The Hinge of
Fate: 2000 – 2004
Florida 2000 became
a war zone, as Democrats sought a selective manual recount in four
state counties, where friendly Democratic operatives could gin up
enough votes to put gore in office. Courtesy of adult supervision by
the US Supreme Court the attempt failed. But it came close enough to
enrage activists on both sides. This made partisan political warfare
inevitable. The Democrats fired the first shot, getting Republican
Senator James Jeffords of Vermont to switch to Independent, leaving
the Democrats with a 51-49-1 edge in the Senate. Bush 43 looked
neutered for four years, but the atrocities of September 11
intervened, transforming the political landscape.
Still, the Iraq War
gave Bush 43’s enemies an opening. Elites, enraged by the 2000
election crisis, launched an all-out war, aiming to ensnare America
in a UN-led world European-style government. OA resisted. But
the Elites over-reached with their own “Gingrich Moment”:
Massachusetts judges imposed gay marriage, triggering massive
resistance among OA's Evangelicals. Meanwhile, 9/11 transformed
Bush from a President of dubious legitimacy to a war leader, giving
him stature to resist Elite assaults.
Closing the
Ring: 2005 - 2008
2004 was the first election in the TV Age
when MSM did not set the agenda and filter candidate responses; too
many alternative channels were available. Bloggers tanked several
major news stories, most notably, Dan Rather’s story asserting Bush
did not complete his National Guard service, a story based upon
forged documents. CBS knew they might be forged and knew that their
source was a Bush 43-hater, but CBS went ahead anyway, believing that
it could not be taken down. The were to learn how wrong they were.
Reagan’s opening up of the media airspace had spawned vigorous
alternative media.
MSM rarely touched
values issues, and when they did they disparaged them. 2004
thus was a big win for Ownership America and defeat for the Elites &
Entitlement segments. The 2004 election was a massive
repudiation of Elite's campaign of vitriol and mendacity against Bush
(his WMD fiasco opened the door) and moral intimidation against
Evangelicals.
Triumph—and Tragedy? - Campaign 2008
Which all sets
the stage for 2008: The Last Battle. The transnational elites
will nominate their Penthiselia-on-the Hudson (the original was
legendary queen of the Amazons, as told in The Aeneid). The
modern Pentheselia will sally forth, fabulously funded by the Elites.
If she wins she may simply prove an interregnum, provided Bush
puts enough ownership reforms in place and Republicans keep House.
Democrats still face huge problem: their core groups--blacks,
feminists, public employee unions, trial lawyers and
entertainers--are far more intolerant of straying from the true path
than the Evangelicals they despise, who fit into the big Republican
tent. She will not have MSM dominance. Who then will
sally forth to take on the warrior queen? Strongest of the OA
warriors, Arnold the Barbarian, cannot do so, his able constitution
being Constitutionally disabled. Rudy of York? If war is
the top issue, yes. Prince Jeb? Look for him if cultural
and ! Hispanic issues dominate--Florida is a key state again in 2008.
A new champion yet unknown? If Penthiselia triumphs, the
conflict expands to 50 Years War (47, rounded up).
And so 2008 beckons:
"Cry havoc, and let slip (once more) the dogs of war!"
Julius Caesar," Act III, Scene 1.)