GOP: getting out of the old era, into the new....
Senate. Half the new Senate--30 of 60--did not vote in 2010 to pass ObamaCare. Of these, 16 Ds either declined to run for, or failed to win re-election. The full breakdown: 11 Ds left & were replaced by Ds; 8 Ds left & were replaced by Rs; 8 Ds were defeated by Rs in bids for re-election; 3 Ds died in office (all replaced by Ds). With Sen. Mary Landrieu's 56 - 44 shellacking Saturday there is, for the first time since 1945, not a single D senator from the formerly longtime solidly Democratic Deep South. NRO's Kevin Williamson explodes the myth that alleged GOP racism caused the shift; in fact, blacks began voting solidly Democratic during the New Deal; white southerners didn't massively shift to GOP until the Reagan years. Indeed, GOP moderate Dwight Eisenhower carried more white votes in 1956--the year of the infamous "Southern Manifesto" signed by 101 segregationist pols in Congress (99 Ds & 2 Rs) opposing racial integration--than conservative Barry Goldwater won in 1964.
House. With a pair of R pickups Saturday in Louisiana run-offs, the new House will at least match the GOP postwar peak of 246 in 1946. One Arizona race remains undecided, for the seat formerly held by Democrat Gabby Giffords; in that race Martha McSally, edged out in her bid for the same seat in 2012, leads by 200 votes, with a machine recount scheduled to decide the winner; the current House count is 246 R -188 D. One of the two LA losers Saturday was former LA Gov. Edwin "Fast Eddie" Edwards. Should the GOP capture the remaining seat its total of 247 would be the highest since Rs held 270 seats in the 1929-30 Congress, during President Herbert Hoover's first two years. In his two midterms President Obama has now lost 75 seats--63 in 2010 & 12 in 2014--one more than the 74 Harry Truman lost in his two midterm elections. With some state seats yet to be decided, Rs anticipate a 2014 gain of 300 - 350 seats, to a level of 4,100 total Rs out of the 7,383; this would be the highest GOP total since the 1920s.
State Governorships. The 4 Statehouses that Rs picked up from Ds--AK, IL, MA & MD (3 retirements & IL incumbent Pat Quinn)--gives them 31 of 49 so far decided; Ds hold 18. Alaska shifted from R to independent after a recount. Vermont is still undecided, with no one getting 50 percent in a six-way race; come Jan. 2015 the heavily Democratic state legislature will select a winner. Incumbent Democrat Peter Shumlin is expected to win, as VT has not picked a second place finisher since 1853 (NOT a misprint). In all, Rs control 23 state governments, Ds 7; 18 are spilt & Alaska remains undecided. The 4 GOP pickups included wins in 3 solid blue states: IL, MA & MD. Of 36 seats at stake in 2014 Rs held 22 & Ds held 14. Rs lost only PA.
State Legislatures. GOP dominance is reflected in state legislatures, where they have hit their highest mark in nearly a century. With 87 chambers at stake in 2014 (42 of 50 state senates & 45 of 49 state houses), the final 2014 tally: of 99 state chambers (Nebraska has a unicameral, nonpartisan senatorial legislature), Rs hold 68, a gain of 11; they wrested 9 from Democratic control, and picked up another 2 where there had been a 50-50 split. Ds control 30. In 2014, 82 percent (6,057) of the country's 7,383 state legislative seats were at stake; 56 percent (1,098) of 1,972 senate seats & 92 percent (4,958) of 5,411 house seats were decided. Of 11 chamber switches, the 6 GOP state senate pickups were in CO, ME, NY, NV, WA, WV; the 5 GOP pickups in house chambers were in MN, NH, NM, NV, WV. GOP gains come on top of 680 seats gained in 2010. Ds had modest state chamber pickups in 2012.
Presidents. Political ace Larry Sabato shows how from FDR onward presidents have cost their party seats during their White House sojourn. Every president lost seats in Congress during his tenure: Only Ronald Reagan managed a pickup of state chamber seats--a microscopic 6 seats out of nearly 7,400--during his presidential years. Obama's 2008 - 2014 record shows net losses of 13 senators, 69 House seats, 11 governorships, 913 state legislature seats & 30 state chambers. In all, Pres. Obama's 6-year cumulative tally is worse than the 8-year average losses for two-term presidents: 8 senate seats, 36 House seats, 11 governorships & 15 state chambers & 451 state legislative seats.
Bottom Line. President Obama's tenure has been a political disaster of epic proportions for his party, with record losses in both houses of Congress and even worse losses in state legislative chambers.
Letter from the Capitol, LFTC, Conservative Politics